Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.321032 3.519527 3.730023 3.970962 4.240500 4.534384 4.881308
2024-10-20 2.976461 3.231502 3.514023 3.853444 4.254659 4.719778 5.308984
2024-10-27 2.696325 2.979741 3.304090 3.708632 4.208512 4.818735 5.641836
2024-11-03 2.581776 2.905455 3.288647 3.786188 4.432120 5.269521 6.489825
2024-11-10 2.505924 2.869005 3.313070 3.913133 4.732936 5.867377 7.675353
2024-11-17 2.357080 2.730448 3.197492 3.846765 4.767704 6.107631 8.405582
2024-11-24 2.216670 2.592357 3.071046 3.752484 4.750698 6.269396 9.060028
2024-12-01 2.106498 2.485699 2.977404 3.693625 4.776860 6.502233 9.919061
2024-12-08 2.015163 2.397784 2.902121 3.652976 4.824540 6.779032 10.972778
2024-12-15 1.966018 2.362505 2.895465 3.710374 5.032495 7.375407 13.001077
2024-12-22 1.860711 2.245549 2.767298 3.574546 4.907600 7.337607 13.509445
2024-12-29 1.810582 2.201376 2.739197 3.588921 5.037630 7.821088 15.723126
2025-01-05 1.725058 2.111542 2.650729 3.519261 5.045428 8.133404 18.012678
2025-01-12 1.643674 2.023609 2.559957 3.438740 5.025372 8.394325 20.572257
2025-01-19 1.561825 1.931233 2.457399 3.330792 4.941353 8.496422 22.801225
2025-01-26 1.532373 1.912133 2.463298 3.403986 5.220818 9.605196 33.082364
2025-02-02 1.513586 1.907233 2.490310 3.516642 5.607389 11.242650 59.670379
2025-02-09 1.460052 1.848383 2.429254 3.467276 5.639507 11.853267 87.742719
2025-02-16 1.405294 1.785279 2.357865 3.392883 5.604296 12.239915 130.144332
2025-02-23 1.360381 1.735024 2.304278 3.346825 5.628670 12.882352 266.488080
2025-03-02 1.321538 1.692270 2.260420 3.315173 5.683338 13.707805 1815.924607
2025-03-09 1.301106 1.676539 2.259631 3.365651 5.953813 15.749708 NaN
2025-03-16 1.251640 1.614271 2.178586 3.252403 5.780929 15.520140 NaN